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| House prices are defying gravity and just keep going up and up | |
| If you already own a home, congratulations; if you're trying to get a foot on the property ladder you can only weep: the average house price in London has just passed the £300,000 mark. | |
| Many STRs now accept that there isn't going to be a property crash in the foreseeable future and are desperately trying to get back onto the property ladder before house prices rise again. | |
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| LOW INFLATION |
| LOW INTEREST RATES |
| HIGH EMPLOYMENT |
| LOW UNEMPLOYMENT |
| ECONOMIC STABILITY |
| STRONG ECONOMIC GROWTH |
| RISING INCOMES |
| SHORTAGE OF SUPPLY |
| HIGH DEMAND |
| RISING POPULATION |
| HIGH IMMIGRATION |
| Confidence is returning back to the property market |
| Interest rates are set to fall further |
| Consumers are optimistic about high house prices |
| Many low fixed rate mortgage deals on offer |
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THE HOUSING BOOM CONTINUES
THE HOUSING BOOM CONTINUES
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The people who sold-to-rent (STR) have a vested interest in talking down the property market in the hope that a property crash occurs so that they can buy a property on the cheap from a poor distressed home owner who is forced to sell because they lost their job and cannot keep up with their mortgage payments with the intention of then waiting for the next property boom and sell the property for an absurdly high price to some gullible and naive buyer who is being ripped off and thereby make a significant amount of money. The STRs claim that a property crash is coming but they are very mistaken and every day that goes by without even the slightest sign a crash occurring only undermines their case. Many predicted that a crash would happen years ago but house prices have only continued to rise and anybody taking the STRs advice to sell their property will have certainly lost out on some spectacular rises in house prices. The STR scaremongers have cried wolf so often in predicting an imminent property crash and their predictions have been proved wrong time and time again that they are starting to look ridiculous and foolish and are no longer believed. The STRs argue that the gap between property prices and wages is now so vast that some correction in house prices must inevitably occur. However, this ignores the most powerful dynamic of all - supply and demand. House building is currently performing at about half that would be required to stave off further astronomic price rises. House prices continue to defy gravity and confound predictions of a slowdown. The housing market continues to hold up because of current economic conditions, notably high employment levels and low mortgage rates. There is a high level of consumer confidence that house prices will rise strongly over the next few years. Conditions in the housing market and the economy are different now to those of the late 80s and early 90s. The boom and bust of the 1970s, 1980s and early 1990s have been succeeded by a more stable housing market in which high house prices are more sustainable than they were in the past. Economy stability, benign inflation environment, historically low interest rates and record number of people in work all means that demand for houses will remain strong. Some STRs say that they want house prices to fall to sensible levels so that they can buy a property at a reasonable price and claim that they are not interested in making money from any future rises in house prices but this is complete nonsense because the STRs always view property as an investment and would never entertain the idea of buying a property unless they thought they can make a substantial profit by selling the property for a much higher price in the future. The STRs seem to think that a property crash will occur over-night that will cause house prices to crash back to sensible levels but this is very wishful thinking because it will take many years to bring house prices back to normal levels. The STRs wrongly assume that a crash will somehow make property cheap but they are very mistaken because property will still remain expensive even in the event of a crash and the STRs will find themselves very disappointed by the scale of falls in house prices during a crash. There will have to be at least a 20% reduction in house prices just in order for the STRs to break even when buying a property to cover the transaction costs involved like stamp duty, estate agent and solicitors fees. The STRs are getting itchy feet and are fed up of renting and cannot wait to get back onto the property ladder. It is somewhat strange that the STRs are so keen to get back onto the property ladder when they were so keen to get off the property ladder in the first place. It is best for all concerned that house prices remain high for the foreseeable future in order that the STR suffer the stigma and humiliation of living in rented accommodation forever as punishment for having sold their home at a ridiculously high price to some over-stretched and gullible buyer. The STRs claim that there are vested interests trying to talk up house prices and yet the STRs are not exactly free of vested interests themselves because they want a property crash to occur so that they can buy a property at a low price with the intention of selling the property for a much higher price and make a substantial profit in the next property boom. The trouble is that the STRs don't know what trigger will cause a property crash, when the property crash will happen, by how much house prices will fall, when the trough in house prices will be reached, how long property prices will remain languishing at the bottom and worse still they do not know when the next boom in house prices will begin. The STRs fail to appreciate the fact that it is only a severe recession that causes house prices to crash. The current economic and housing boom started in 1996 and has now lasted ten years which means that there will be a long and deep recession lasting about ten years in order to unwind and roll back all the excesses and distortions of the current boom and return the economy back to the normal state it was in prior to the boom having started. It is only until the recession has managed to completely unwind the boom such that the economy is purged of all the inflationary excesses of the boom will the economy then be in a state where a new boom can take place causing house prices to rise. There is little point in the STRs waiting for a property crash to buy property because there is unlikely to be another house price boom for at least ten years which means that even if a property crash does occur it won't necessarily make it a good time to buy property since house prices will be falling or languishing at the bottom for ten years whilst the economy is in recession and there is little advantage in buying a property that will not be appreciating in value for many years until the next economic boom begins in ten years time. Buying a property that is not appreciating in value is simply wasting money and the value of the property will not be appreciating to keep up with inflation which means that the value of the property is being continually eroded away by inflation. It is the STR speculators who take the most interest as to what is happening to the housing market rather than first time buyers who in many cases have given up any hope of getting onto the property ladder in their lifetime. The STRs are continually posting negative reports about the housing market on various internet chat forums in a desperate attempt to talk down house prices and are clutching at straws in using the slightest bit of bad news, no matter how trivial, to justify a house price crash. It looks like we have to go through a ten year long recession, causing misery to millions of people, just to enable the STRs to get back onto the property ladder. The STRs are just deceitful, lying, greedy scum who are just waiting to take advantage of other peoples misery by buying a property at a low price from a distressed home owner who is forced to sell because they can no longer keep up the mortgage payments. |
| THE STRS ARE DECEITFUL LYING, GREEDY SCUM |
| The STRs have a vested interest in wanting a property crash to occur so that they can take advantage of other peoples misery and buy a property at a low price from a poor distressed home owner who cannot keep up the mortgage payments and is forced to sell so that the STR can then sell the property at a much higher price and make a substantial profit in the next property boom. |
| The STRs are very mistaken if they think that a property crash will make property cheap. |
| The STRs will be disappointed by the scale of falls in house prices in the event of a crash. |
| The continuing housing boom is good news because it is preventing the STRs from getting back onto the property ladder which is forcing them to continue paying dead money in rent that is helping to pay off their landlord's mortgage whilst they continue to see the value of their STR fund money being eroded away by inflation. |
| The longer the current housing boom continues the further it will delay when the next housing boom will take place which will make the plight of the STR worse since they will have to wait longer for when it becomes a good time to buy property just as house prices start to rise as the economy emerges from the next recession and enters another economic boom. |
| There is little point in the STRs waiting for a property crash to occur in order to buy property because there is unlikely to be another house price boom for at least ten years which means that they will be buying an asset that won't be appreciating in value for ten years. |
| The STRs will have to wait ten years before it becomes a good time to buy property by which time the value of their STR fund money will have been eroded by inflation to such an extent that it will end up being worthless. |
| The STRs are desperate to reinvest their STR fund money back into property before their STR fund money ends up being worthless due to inflation. |
| The STRs did not foresee that London would win the bid to host the Olympics in 2012 and are now kicking themselves for having sold too early and missed out on the additional boost to house prices that will be created by the Olympics. |
| The STRs are bitterly regretting their decision to sell their property too early and have missed out on spectacular rises in property prices since they sold their property. |
| The STRs are green with envy that home owners continue to enjoy further rises in house prices whereas the STRs can only watch and weep as they miss out on additional capital gains. |
| Many STRs now realise that the housing market won't crash in the foreseeable future and admit that the gamble in selling their property has proved to be a very costly mistake and they are fed up of paying dead money in rent and are desperately trying to get back onto the property ladder before house prices start to rise again. |
| The STRs will find themselves living in rented accommodation for the next ten years. |
| THE STRS MADE A BIG MISTAKE SELLING THEIR PROPERTY |
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The people who sold-to-rent (STR) let greed cloud their judgement and sold their property based on the assumption that house prices would crash soon after they sold their property which would enable them to get back onto the property ladder and buy a property on the cheap in a crash but it hasn't quite worked out that way since the housing boom has continued for much longer than they had expected and as a consequence the STRs have seriously miscalculated and are now resigned to the fact that they will continue paying dead money in rent for much longer than they had anticipated. The STRs moan and whinge about high house prices but that did not stop them from taking advantage of the property boom and selling their house for a high price to an over-stretched, naive and gullible buyer, knowing full well that the property they were selling was way over-priced and the buyer was being ripped off. There is a strong whiff of hypocrisy from the STRs who say that house prices are too high and yet they were quite happy to sell their property at a high price when it suited their interests and as soon as they sold their property they start to complain that property prices are too high. The STRs are just two-faced hypocrites who would at one moment talk the property market up when they are trying to sell a property at a high price and make a significant profit and the next moment are quite prepared to talk down the property market soon after they sold their property when they want to get back onto the property ladder. The STRs want to have it both ways, they want house prices to be high when they are selling a property and they want house prices to be low when they are trying to buy a property. Since the STRs were quite happy to exploit the property boom and sell their property at a ridiculously high price, knowing full well that the property was way over priced and that the buyer was being ripped off, then the STRs have no right to complain about high property prices because they are so keen to get back onto the property ladder when they were quite prepared to sell their property for a high price. Some STRs even have the bare faced cheek to write to their Members of Parliament to complain about high house prices when they were quite happy to take full advantage of high house prices by selling their property for a ridiculously high price, knowing full well that the property was way over priced to some poor over-stretched gullible and naive buyer. The STRs who have been writing to their MPs complaining about high property prices did not complain to their MPs about high house prices before they sold their property for a high price but only complained after they sold their property which is dishonest and totally disreputable and despicable. Since the STRs sold their property for a high price then it only makes sense that the STRs should themselves be made to pay a high price for property if they want to get back onto the property ladder. Although the STRs were quite happy to sell their property for a high price they are reluctant themselves to pay a high price for property and want a property crash to happen that causes property prices to fall significantly so that they can then buy a property on the cheap. The STRs just can't understand what is keeping the housing boom going and many STRs made the miscalculation of selling too early and have missed out on some truly spectacular capital gains since selling their property. |
| THE STRS MISSED OUT ON FURTHER RISES IN HOUSE PRICES |
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| THE STRS BITTERLY REGRET SELLING THEIR PROPERTY TOO EARLY |
| THE STRS HAVE MISSED OUT BIG TIME |
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Many people who sold-to-rent (STR) are having serious misgivings about selling their homes because they are continually seeing the value of the properties they sold rise in value. Many who sold-to-rent cannot bear to watch the news or read the newspapers for fear that they will report another surge in house prices. Many STRs are in denial that the houses they sold have risen in value since they sold them and are trying desperately to keep a brave face in public but in reality they know that they have missed out on steep rises in the values of their properties since they sold them and are kicking themselves for having become greedy and selling at the wrong time when the best option would have been to have waited and enjoyed the further additional capital gains they would have enjoyed if only they had not got so greedy and sold so early. Many STRs are filled with fear and apprehension when walking past an estate agent for fear that they might catch a glimpse of what their house is now worth after they sold it and they are making a conscious decision to avoid going past estate agents for fear of finding out how much the properties they sold have gone up by since they sold them. Some STRs have developed a phobia of estate agent advertisements in newspapers and the property supplements in newspapers in case they discover by how much the properties they sold has risen since they sold. Many STRs try to ignore and set aside the property supplements and estate agent adverts and when their friends read the supplements and see by how much the properties that the STR sold has risen by they grin and pull a face of unbridled and unrestrained glee that their STR friend is missing out on having made so much money. Many STRs are having sleepless nights and breaking into cold sweats about how much money they could have made if only they did not sell so early. Some STRs are finding the taunts and baiting that they are getting from their home-owner friends at work unbearable but the STRs try to keep a brave face but deep inside the STRs are feeling absolutely sick about having missed out on the further steep rises in house prices. Many STRs are increasingly getting depressed as they see no end to the property boom and are becoming ever more miserable and angry with themselves and some are saying that selling to rent was the worst decision of their lives. |
| THE STRS BITTERLY REGRET SELLING THEIR PROPERTY |
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Not a day goes by without the STRs having serious misgivings about selling their homes and thinking about by how much the property they sold has risen by since they sold it. Every day the STR is reminded about houses prices and wince and cringe whenever they over hear people in the office talking about how much their houses have gone up in value. The STR must be living a life of hell as they are always living in dread when reading the newspapers or listening to the news or hearing people in the office talking about house prices because the last thing the STR wants to hear is that house prices are still going up. Many STRs are now resigned to the very real possibility that they will be living in rented accommodation for many years to come and may never get another chance to get back onto the property ladder. The money that the STR made by selling their house is little consolation when they find themselves living in rented accommodation forever. The STRs are desperate to reinvest the money they made in selling their house as soon as possible because they fear that the longer they leave their money in the bank the less it will be worth because rising inflation is continually eroding away the value of their money. The STRs are in a race against time to try to reinvest their STR money back into property before their STR fund becomes worthless because of rising inflation. Low interest rates means that the STRs are earning a pathetically small amount of interest by keeping their STR fund money in a bank account which at best is just barely keeping up with inflation. The STRs dispute the claim that inflation is eroding away the value of their STR money by saying that there are many bank accounts that earn interest at or near the official rate of inflation. However, even the dogs in the street know that the true inflation rate is much higher than the official inflation rate and the true inflation rate is much nearer ten percent rather than the official two percent and there are few bank accounts that will earn interest above ten percent particularly after tax has been deducted. Given that the real inflation rate is closer to ten percent rather than the official figure of two percent this means that after ten years the value of the STRs fund money will in real terms end up being practically worthless. The STRs seriously miscalculated in assuming that the cost of renting will be dramatically less than the costs of servicing the mortgage they once had because low and falling interest rates has meant that the interest payments on their mortgage would be very low in comparison to renting out a similar type of property. The STRs took a gamble in selling their house on the assumption that house prices would crash soon after they sold their house and they could buy a property very cheaply and get back onto the property ladder fairly quickly. However, the housing boom shows no signs of crashing and the STRs will have to wait many years before there is any chance of a crash occurring. The miscalculation of the STRs in assuming that they could get back onto the property ladder quickly is costing them dear because whilst they are waiting for the crash they are continually paying dead money in rent which is helping to pay off their landlord's mortgage whilst the value of their STR fund money is continually being eroded away by inflation. The STRs outgoings and expenses have increased considerably since selling their house and living in rented accommodation because they had not foreseen the detrimental impact that living in rented accommodation would have on their quality of life and as a consequence they are finding themselves spending far more than they did when they owned their house just in order to get over the feelings of depression, anxiety and uncertainty associated with renting and living with the constant fear of never being able to get a foot onto the property ladder ever again. |
| PROPERTY PRICES ALWAYS RISE IN THE LONG TERM |
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Property has long been a major investment sector in the UK and people have always appreciated the benefits of owning property over the long term, particularly in terms of capital appreciation. This is hardly surprising when you consider that the property market has consistently generated good returns for UK investors over the past 40 years and residential property has on average doubled in value every seven years. Despite its historically positive performance, property continues to be the victim of an onslaught of the STR speculators who keep promising an imminent crash just around the corner. There are a number of very good reasons to doubt these predictions. Firstly, interest rates remain low by historic standards and mortgages are at their cheapest for more than 25 years. The predicted property crash is also more unlikely to materialise when you consider the fact that the UK has high GDP growth and employment levels and a shortage of housing supply. In fact, the quantity of newly developed units is more than 100,000 behind current demand levels and the gap is expected to widen, with house building in the UK at its lowest since the Second World War. Here are the reasons why you can't go wrong with property as an investment:
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| HOUSING HAS OUTPERFORMED EVERY OTHER ASSET IN THE LONG TERM |
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Oil and gold have hit the headlines recently with prices of each reaching record highs. These price explosions have brought annual price inflation of these commodities up to over 40%. Silver has also increased dramatically, rising by over 70% in the last year. This makes the recent upturn in annual house price inflation to around 5% in the last two months look decidedly modest. However, housing outperforms in the longer term. In spite of the very strong recent and historical rallies in commodity prices, including the two OPEC oil price crises in the 1970s, housing has still outperformed over the longer term. Since 1970 house prices have increased by over 3,500% compared to the increase in oil prices of around 1,750%, gold of around 1,550% and silver of about 500%. |
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| PROPERTY INVESTMENT IS BETTER THAN GOLD |
| The value of bricks and mortar has risen at almost twice the rate of gold over the past three-and-a-half years. |
| If you already own a home, congratulations; if you're trying to get a foot on the ladder then you can only weep: the average house price in London has just passed the £300,000 mark. If you haven't already invested in bricks and mortar you'd be well advised to do so. The chronic shortage of housing will force average house prices up faster than average earnings - good news for those already on the property ladder as they will continue to see their house price increase in value. |
| The 20th century saw house prices increase 174 times and values multiply by a massive 17,300%. To put this in perspective, a 3 bedroom semi priced at £431 in 1900 would now be valued at £220,000. Some areas have seen an even more dramatic rise in value over the past century: a 5 bedroom house in Cheyne Walk, Chelsea, which sold for £1000 in 1900, would now fetch £4,500,000, a whopping 450,000% increase. |
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HOUSE PRICES HAVE GONE BALLISTIC |
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HOUSE PRICES ARE ROCKETING |
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HOUSE PRICES HAVE GONE THROUGH THE ROOF |
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BEACH HUT SELLS FOR £120,000 |
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GARAGE SELLS FOR £135,000 |
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HOUSE PRICES ARE GOING UP BY £100 A DAY |
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BUYERS ARE DESPERATE TO GET ONTO THE PROPERTY LADDER |
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IT'S NOW OR NEVER TO GET A FOOT ONTO THE PROPERTY LADDER |
| THE HOUSING MARKET IS GAINING STRENGTH |
| GAZUMPING IS BACK WITH A VENGEANCE |
Percentage increase in actual/nominal (not inflation adjusted) house prices |
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Percentage increase in real (inflation adjusted) house prices |
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| HOUSE PRICES HAVE TREBLED IN TEN YEARS |
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THE AVERAGE HOUSE WILL COST £330,000 IN 2025 |
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